Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 5.958408 6.547143 7.195890 7.968938 8.871836 9.901592 11.177330
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 5.003029 5.778868 6.702131 7.901530 9.449039 11.424032 14.215603
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 4.662952 5.584747 6.746173 8.360035 10.620189 13.803984 18.904989
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.323461 5.315618 6.619386 8.526655 11.378368 15.744036 23.579960
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.956390 4.955315 6.308146 8.363621 11.594150 16.878744 27.323801
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.693155 4.701904 6.105266 8.312488 11.947738 18.291407 32.142837
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.435036 4.428843 5.840671 8.122941 12.027680 19.222815 36.390531
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.253741 4.247726 5.689541 8.085886 12.350642 20.680339 42.652051
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.094144 4.084220 5.547319 8.041011 12.644180 22.150627 49.918306
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.010142 4.024542 5.556519 8.246868 13.438776 24.942843 63.517890
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.836302 3.817471 5.316222 7.990348 13.276698 25.460041 69.817316
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.678943 3.626370 5.087858 7.731777 13.070544 25.818591 75.981677
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.537716 3.461386 4.904991 7.565583 13.096024 26.973215 88.235033
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.424915 3.335765 4.780452 7.500035 13.346362 28.913082 108.643636
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.408395 3.359844 4.906340 7.923781 14.800447 35.201771 177.553290
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.347295 3.307504 4.895950 8.077603 15.654821 40.158527 269.518091
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.244596 3.180851 4.745360 7.927082 15.704382 42.226351 348.296495
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.165592 3.088866 4.649580 7.879850 16.021069 45.633559 504.072300
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.074570 2.972094 4.501251 7.704670 15.952378 47.378830 670.236469
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.009602 2.895868 4.421712 7.670406 16.281197 51.304735 1105.882102
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.948238 2.822648 4.342783 7.628904 16.583551 55.437653 2061.742303
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.920205 2.804832 4.365587 7.819221 17.647958 65.082844 11077.962652
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.841856 2.696427 4.210303 7.582037 17.296221 65.669177 25724.829620